The current price of ABC stock is $50. The term structure of interest rates (continuously compounded) is flat at 10%. What is the six-month forward price of the stock? Β Denote this as F. The six-month call price at strike F is equal to $8. The six-month Β put price at strike F is equal to $7. Explain why there is arbitrage opportunity given Β these prices.

Das, Sanjiv; Rangarajan Sundaram. Derivatives (The Mcgraw-hill/Irwin Series in Finance, Insureance and Real Estate) (p. 214). McGraw-Hill Higher Education. Kindle Edition.

arbitrage opportunity

We will determine the six-month forward price of ABC stock, FF, and then analyze whether an arbitrage opportunity exists given the call and put option prices.

Step 1: Calculate the Six-Month Forward Price

The forward price is given by the standard formula:

F=S0erTF = S_0 e^{rT}

where:

  • S0=50S_0 = 50 (current stock price),

  • r=0.10r = 0.10 (continuously compounded risk-free rate),

  • T=0.5T = 0.5 years (six months).

F=50e0.10Γ—0.5F = 50 e^{0.10 times 0.5} F=50e0.05F = 50 e^{0.05}

Approximating e0.05β‰ˆ1.05127e^{0.05} approx 1.05127,

Fβ‰ˆ50Γ—1.05127=52.56F approx 50 times 1.05127 = 52.56

So, the six-month forward price is $52.56$.


Step 2: Check Put-Call Parity

Put-call parity states:

Cβˆ’P=S0βˆ’Keβˆ’rTC – P = S_0 – Ke^{-rT}

where:

  • C=8C = 8 (call price),

  • P=7P = 7 (put price),

  • K=F=52.56K = F = 52.56,

  • S0=50S_0 = 50,

  • r=0.10r = 0.10,

  • T=0.5T = 0.5.

Calculate the present value of KK:

Keβˆ’rT=52.56eβˆ’0.05K e^{-rT} = 52.56 e^{-0.05}

Approximating eβˆ’0.05β‰ˆ0.95123e^{-0.05} approx 0.95123,

Keβˆ’rTβ‰ˆ52.56Γ—0.95123=50K e^{-rT} approx 52.56 times 0.95123 = 50

Now, check the put-call parity equation:

8βˆ’7=50βˆ’508 – 7 = 50 – 50 1=01 = 0

This contradiction means that put-call parity is violated, which creates an arbitrage opportunity.


Step 3: Construct an Arbitrage Strategy

Since the left-hand side of the equation ( Cβˆ’P=1C – P = 1 ) is greater than the right-hand side, we exploit this mispricing as follows:

  1. Sell the call for $8.

  2. Buy the put for $7.

  3. Buy the stock for $50.

  4. Short the forward contract at $F = 52.56 (which means agreeing to sell the stock in six months at this price).

  5. Finance the stock purchase by borrowing $50 at 10% continuous compounding.

Cash Flow at Initiation:

  • Buying the stock: βˆ’50-50

  • Selling the call: +8+8

  • Buying the put: βˆ’7-7

  • No cost to enter the forward contract

  • Net cash flow: βˆ’50+8βˆ’7=βˆ’49-50 + 8 – 7 = -49

Cash Flow at Expiry (Six Months Later):

  • The stock is delivered at $52.56 under the forward contract.

  • The borrowed amount grows to:

    50e0.05β‰ˆ52.5650 e^{0.05} approx 52.56

  • The put and call will cancel each other since they are at-the-money.

Final Profit Calculation:

  • Receive $52.56 from forward contract.

  • Repay $52.56 loan.

  • Initial arbitrage gain: $1.

Thus, we earn a risk-free arbitrage profit of $1 per share.


Conclusion

Since put-call parity is violated, there exists an arbitrage opportunity. By using a combination of put and call options, stock ownership, and a forward contract, we can lock in a risk-free profit.

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