We will determine the six-month forward price of ABC stock, FFF, and then analyze whether an arbitrage opportunity exists given the call and put option prices.
Step 1: Calculate the Six-Month Forward Price
The forward price is given by the standard formula:
F=S0erTF = S_0 e^{rT}F=S0βerT
where:
-
S0=50S_0 = 50S0β=50 (current stock price),
-
r=0.10r = 0.10r=0.10 (continuously compounded risk-free rate),
-
T=0.5T = 0.5T=0.5 years (six months).
F=50e0.10Γ0.5F = 50 e^{0.10 times 0.5}F=50e0.10Γ0.5 F=50e0.05F = 50 e^{0.05}F=50e0.05
Approximating e0.05β1.05127e^{0.05} approx 1.05127e0.05β1.05127,
Fβ50Γ1.05127=52.56F approx 50 times 1.05127 = 52.56Fβ50Γ1.05127=52.56
So, the six-month forward price is $52.56$.
Step 2: Check Put-Call Parity
Put-call parity states:
CβP=S0βKeβrTC β P = S_0 β Ke^{-rT}CβP=S0ββKeβrT
where:
-
C=8C = 8C=8 (call price),
-
P=7P = 7P=7 (put price),
-
K=F=52.56K = F = 52.56K=F=52.56,
-
S0=50S_0 = 50S0β=50,
-
r=0.10r = 0.10r=0.10,
-
T=0.5T = 0.5T=0.5.
Calculate the present value of KKK:
KeβrT=52.56eβ0.05K e^{-rT} = 52.56 e^{-0.05}KeβrT=52.56eβ0.05
Approximating eβ0.05β0.95123e^{-0.05} approx 0.95123eβ0.05β0.95123,
KeβrTβ52.56Γ0.95123=50K e^{-rT} approx 52.56 times 0.95123 = 50KeβrTβ52.56Γ0.95123=50
Now, check the put-call parity equation:
8β7=50β508 β 7 = 50 β 508β7=50β50 1=01 = 01=0
This contradiction means that put-call parity is violated, which creates an arbitrage opportunity.
Step 3: Construct an Arbitrage Strategy
Since the left-hand side of the equation ( CβP=1C β P = 1CβP=1 ) is greater than the right-hand side, we exploit this mispricing as follows:
-
Sell the call for $8.
-
Buy the put for $7.
-
Buy the stock for $50.
-
Short the forward contract at $F = 52.56 (which means agreeing to sell the stock in six months at this price).
-
Finance the stock purchase by borrowing $50 at 10% continuous compounding.
Cash Flow at Initiation:
-
Buying the stock: β50-50β50
-
Selling the call: +8+8+8
-
Buying the put: β7-7β7
-
No cost to enter the forward contract
-
Net cash flow: β50+8β7=β49-50 + 8 β 7 = -49β50+8β7=β49
Cash Flow at Expiry (Six Months Later):
-
The stock is delivered at $52.56 under the forward contract.
-
The borrowed amount grows to:
50e0.05β52.5650 e^{0.05} approx 52.5650e0.05β52.56
-
The put and call will cancel each other since they are at-the-money.
Final Profit Calculation:
Thus, we earn a risk-free arbitrage profit of $1 per share.
Conclusion
Since put-call parity is violated, there exists an arbitrage opportunity. By using a combination of put and call options, stock ownership, and a forward contract, we can lock in a risk-free profit.